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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4341
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Posted - 2013.09.20 06:33:00 -
[1] - Quote
Hammer Crendraven wrote:What ever is causing it, is cyclical. Check the price of plex over several years. This is common.
That's why having multi-year charts is good. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4341
|
Posted - 2013.09.21 00:21:00 -
[2] - Quote
Bad Bobby wrote: But my logic, or lack thereof, in making this once a year bulk purchase isn't as relevant to this thread as my confidence that the price of PLEX has regular and fairly predictable ups and downs.
Your logic is called swing trading and in two lines you show you know more about the markets than many who have a degree in economy. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4341
|
Posted - 2013.09.24 07:00:00 -
[3] - Quote
There's no need to wonder about why and how, only price talks.
(Yes I have omitted a detail, as I am going to make money on that). Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4342
|
Posted - 2013.09.24 14:18:00 -
[4] - Quote
Sundiel wrote:Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:There's no need to wonder about why and how, only price talks. (Yes I have omitted a detail, as I am going to make money on that). How did you import tnat into a forex platform?
It's all explained in there. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4343
|
Posted - 2013.09.24 22:46:00 -
[5] - Quote
Ity Moennan wrote:
Are those real prices or actual prices or just some false data formatted to look good or look as the way they are?
It's an automated process that happens for the 20-30 or so markets I generate charts for. If the EvE client market history cached data is truthful then that chart is.
Ity Moennan wrote: I am mentionning this because that If it is real data that means that the prices more than doubled in 2 to 3 years.
At about 25% increase in sell value and buy value per year, it may be easier to decide when to sell those.
As I said, price talks. It's up to you to read or listen to it in a way that makes you money. I don't really care if it goes up or down, just that moves.
Ity Moennan wrote: I also want to know if the price was up to over 600m ISK back at the end of 2012 last year?
It's printed on the picture.
Ity Moennan wrote: Why is the red slope going backward up instead of continously forward?
The red slope (also known as trend line) delimits a market structure called triangle. It's useful to determine accumulations which in turn result in momentum spikes which in turn result in ISK in wallet.
I did not update the trend line in the next months, anyone can go in last half year charts and see those lines already in place and the market doing exactly what it said it'd do. In fact the long term trend line is still valid, like half year ago. The day it'll break then I'll remove it. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4344
|
Posted - 2013.09.25 06:36:00 -
[6] - Quote
Ity Moennan wrote:Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:I did not update the trend line in the next months, ...
... anyone can go in last half year charts and see those lines already in place and the market doing exactly what it said it'd do.
In fact the long term trend line is still valid, like half year ago. The day it'll break then I'll remove it. It goes from January 2011. Where are those last half year charts or where can I find them or look at them? I would like to see that. Perhaps I can EVE Mail you or discuss this otherwise. Is it in your https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=49927Experiment #01: RL finance analysis applied to EvEthread?
It might be, but some broad interest topics like PLEX made me post charts everywhere. Just look at this thread, it's not the linked one yet it's where I posted the chart. Those who follow my posts probably know more than me, who am busy doing stuff enough to not record every breath I take. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4376
|
Posted - 2013.10.08 20:27:00 -
[7] - Quote
Cameron Freerunner wrote: Dr. E (in the fanfest video linke by Bobby) says specifically that they aren't aiming for a specific price. However, he doesn't really explain how that jibes with the concept of intervening in the PLEX market. If they're bringing the price down, they may not be aiming for a number, but they're aiming for something. I'd love to know what that something is.
They are doing what RL exchanges do: they don't care about the securities values but to keep the daily price variations within a contract enforced minimum and maximum percentage. If a security goes ballistic, they suspend its trading.
CCP know PLEX is one of the top speculative items, played by the "big guys".
They want to prevent PLEX spiking like crazy, its inherent value is so large that it could cause major ripple effects on other markets. Plus large RMTers could also get benefits by being able to make lots of ISK in a "legit way" by leveraging on illicit ISK stashes.
CCP have created a single point of failure in their economy, this is why they watch it like hawks. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4376
|
Posted - 2013.10.08 23:03:00 -
[8] - Quote
I have written a consistent PLEX market analysis. It indeed shows a years long uptrend. Reading the article you'll also see "someone" had drawn that trend on May 2012 already. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4453
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Posted - 2013.10.23 13:39:00 -
[9] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:I have written a consistent PLEX market analysis. It indeed shows a years long uptrend. Reading the article you'll also see "someone" had drawn that trend on May 2012 already. I see: "The next days will be great days to secure a profit for a large portion of the stock. The remaining part may be left in the market to try and GÇ£let the profits runGÇ¥." Why would you suggest selling now if you expect the market to break out towards 700 next year?
Because position and money management are as if not more important than knowing when to open a position.
A RL trader would not keep all his risk capital in the market till the end. A RL trader is in for the long haul so he gradually secures his profits with progressive take profits. A RL trader knows to buy low and sell high.
So, when price is high enough and profits are OK, the trader sells, well knowing that price swings. So the current higher high will become an higher low shortly after, where to re-purchase stock at lower price with expectation for the next higher swing to provide for a "sell high" further opportunity.
So, since I am a RL trader, I just do that in EvE too, and enjoy the results.  Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
5304
|
Posted - 2014.03.25 15:07:00 -
[10] - Quote
Alan Darmazaf wrote:It's maybe time for me to try another space game who's out this year. If i have to pay to play i'm gonna pay for a new game and not a 10 years old one !
Yeah, sadly in EvE there's this terrible thing called "law of supply and demand". Even worse, EvE got markets driven economy. Preposterous. 
Also, there's no "redistribution to the poor" and no "popular republic".
Gotta find them in real life, where they show how good they are.  Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
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